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Recession probability, capital rotation scoring, and economic data API
Recession probability, capital rotation scoring, and economic data API
Valid MCP server (1 strong, 1 medium validity signals). 9 known CVEs in dependencies (0 critical, 3 high severity) Package registry verified. Imported from the Official MCP Registry.
3 files analyzed · 10 issues found
Security scores are indicators to help you make informed decisions, not guarantees. Always review permissions before connecting any MCP server.
This plugin requests these system permissions. Most are normal for its category.
Set these up before or after installing:
Environment variable: BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY
Add this to your MCP configuration file:
{
"mcpServers": {
"io-github-jbrand0n-market-intelligence-mcp": {
"env": {
"BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-bullrundata-api-key-here"
},
"args": [
"-y",
"@bullrundata/market-intelligence"
],
"command": "npx"
}
}
}From the project's GitHub README.
Recession probability, capital rotation, macro cascade scenario analysis, investment calculators, and real-time economic data — for Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, and any MCP client.
Powered by the BullrunData API.
Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:
{
"mcpServers": {
"market-intelligence": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@bullrundata/market-intelligence"],
"env": {
"BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-api-key"
}
}
}
}
claude mcp add market-intelligence -- npx -y @bullrundata/market-intelligence
Sign up free at bullrundata.com — 100 calls/day, no credit card required.
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
recession_probability | Current recession probability (0-95%) from 15-indicator weighted model |
recession_indicators | All model indicators with scores and values |
fed_stance | Federal Reserve policy stance and weight impacts |
market_regime | Market cycle phase (early/mid/late/recession) |
confirmation_status | 4 coincident indicators confirming or denying signals |
sahm_rule | Sahm Rule calculation — predicted every recession since 1970 |
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
capital_rotation_score | Risk-on/risk-off composite (-100 to +100) from 9 macro instruments |
capital_rotation_instruments | All instruments with prices, signals, and scores |
divergence_alerts | Correlation breakdowns and momentum shifts |
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
investment_property_analysis | Rental property analysis: cap rate, DSCR, cash flow, 1% rule |
brrrr_analysis | BRRRR deal scoring (0-100) with 70% rule and full breakdown |
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
economic_indicator | Any economic indicator by series ID (GDP, CPI, UNRATE, etc.) |
search_indicators | Search available indicators by keyword |
interest_rates | Fed funds, treasury yields, mortgage rates |
inflation_data | CPI, PCE, breakeven inflation, expectations |
employment_data | Unemployment, payrolls, claims, JOLTS |
housing_data | Mortgage rates, starts, permits, home prices |
yield_curve | Yield spreads and inversion detection |
market_sentiment | VIX, financial conditions, stress, consumer sentiment |
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
cascade_list | List all 10 macro catalyst scenarios |
cascade_analysis | Full chain reaction for a catalyst with live data enrichment |
cascade_search | Search catalysts by keyword (e.g., "oil", "dollar", "china") |
cascade_by_category | Filter by category: geopolitical, monetary, credit, commodity, currency, structural |
Available Catalysts: Oil Supply Shock, Dollar Liquidity Squeeze, Fed Emergency Rate Cut, US Recession, China-Taiwan Escalation, Yield Curve Inversion, Credit Market Freeze, EM Currency Crisis, Trade War Escalation, Sovereign Debt Crisis
Claude uses recession_probability and returns:
Current recession probability is 37.9% (moderate risk). Fed stance: neutral. Market regime: mid-cycle. 0 of 4 coincident indicators confirming. Recommendation: Mixed signals require caution. Begin defensive rotation.
Claude uses investment_property_analysis + interest_rates:
At $450K with 20% down at 7%, monthly cash flow is $287. Cap rate: 5.3%. Cash-on-cash: 4.2%. DSCR: 1.18 (healthy). Current 30Y mortgage rate: 6.38%.
Claude uses capital_rotation_score + divergence_alerts:
Capital rotation score: -3 (NEUTRAL / MIXED SIGNALS). VIX elevated at 27. Gold catching a fear bid. Copper holding — not a structural breakdown. Playbook: quality and diversification over concentrated bets.
Claude uses cascade_analysis + capital_rotation_score:
Oil Supply Shock cascade: Dollar demand surges (mechanical) -> Asian FX reserves drain (likely, weeks) -> Asian equity outflows (likely) -> Forced rate hikes in Asia (probable, months). Current capital rotation score: -13 (neutral/mixed). Playbook: inflation hedges (XLE, TIP) and cash reserves. Watch Fed swap line usage for systemic signal.
| Environment Variable | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY | Yes | Your API key from bullrundata.com |
| Tier | Calls/Day | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Free | 100 | $0 |
| Pro | 10,000 | $29/mo |
| Business | 100,000 | $99/mo |
MIT
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